Prediction exchange

Clear odds. Clear settlement.

Clearodds is being built as a prediction exchange for real-world events. We start with short-window crypto up or down. The price is the probability. The market settles on a card written before it opens.

First marketsBTC / ETH short window
ChainRobinhood Chain
CollateralUSDG only
TokenNone. Not yet.

What we are building

A venue where you trade outcome shares. Yes and No have prices. Those prices are the market’s implied probability. When the window ends, settlement follows the published card — not a private chat.

First product

Fixed-length crypto up/down. 15 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours, or 24 hours. One question per market. No sports in v1. No elections in v1.

What we will not do early

No token sale. No airdrop promise. No fake volume. No “official Robinhood” claim. Clearodds is an independent project on Robinhood Chain.

How a short window works

  1. The question is fixed. At time T, is price P greater than or equal to snapshot S?
  2. S is published. The opening snapshot is posted within 60 seconds of T0. No snapshot, no more orders.
  3. You trade Yes or No in USDG. The Yes price is the live probability.
  4. T arrives. Primary source first. Backup only if the primary fails. Both fail: the market is void and USDG is returned.

Rules card — crypto short window

A market does not list until this card is complete. After open, the card does not change.

ConditionP versus SResult
UpP > SYes
TieP = SYes
DownP < SNo
No snapshot or dead oracleVoid, refund

Sources

Primary: Chainlink on Robinhood Chain.
Backup: Coinbase, same pair.
Challenge window on a 1-hour market: 30 minutes.

Collateral

USDG only, 6 decimals, on Robinhood Chain (chain ID 4663). The canonical token address will be published on this page when contracts deploy. Do not trust any other address.

Stack

Network

Robinhood Chain · EVM · Chain ID 4663
Testnet 46630
Gas: ETH

Why this chain

Native USDG, Chainlink feeds for crypto and stock tokens, and an audience already used to event markets. We are not the Robinhood app, and we do not speak for it.

Status

Honest progress only. If it is not listed here, it is not live.

ItemState
Brand and rules cardPublic
WebsiteThis page
Testnet marketsNot live
Mainnet marketsNot live
Token (CLRD)Not issued. Not for sale.
AuditNot started
Xx.com/clearodds
Emailclearodds@outlook.com

Risk. Outcome shares can go to zero. Fees are not refunded unless a market is void. This is not investment advice. Clearodds is not an official product of Robinhood Markets, Inc. Restricted jurisdictions should not use the product when it launches.